How to Create Probability Histogram in Excel (with Easy Steps)

While working in Microsoft Excel sometimes we need to calculate probability and then plot a histogram graph to make it more lucrative. But you might find it difficult without proper guidelines and functions. Today in this article, I am sharing with you how to create a probability histogram in Excel. Stay tuned!


Download Practice Workbook

Download this practice workbook to exercise while you are reading this article.


3 Simple Steps to Create Probability Histogram in Excel

In the following, I have shared 3 simple and quick steps to create a probability histogram in Excel. Follow the instructions below.


Step 1: Making an Informative Dataset

As we all know a dice have 6 faces. To check the probability of all faces we will take random numbers from 1 to 6. Here we also took 0 or null to represent a wrong position of the dice.

  • Open a workbook and fill with random numbers.

  • Next, just beside the random number column we will create a new column named “Probability” where we will determine the probability for those random numbers.

Read More: How to Make a Histogram in Excel Using Data Analysis


Step 2: Using BINOM.DIST Function to Determine Probability

Without moving here and there, we will calculate the probability using the BINOM.DIST function in Excel. The BINOM.DIST function is a statistical function that returns the binomial distribution probability.

  • Choose a cell (C5) and insert the below formula down-
=BINOM.DIST(B5,6,1/6,FALSE)

Where,

  • We have taken our chosen numbers from cell (B5).
  • As we are giving 6 trials, for this we have used 6.
  • For taking 6 trials the probability stands as 1/6.
  • Next, we choose FALSE as it’s a probability mass function.

Using BINOM.DIST Function to Determine Probability to Create Probability Histogram in Excel

  • Simply, press ENTER to get the output.
  • Hence, drag the “Fill Handle” down to fill the rest of the cells.

Using BINOM.DIST Function to Determine Probability to Create Probability Histogram in Excel

  • Finally, we have successfully calculated probability in Excel.

Using BINOM.DIST Function to Determine Probability to Create Probability Histogram in Excel

Read More: How to Create a Histogram in Excel with Bins (4 Handy Methods)


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Step 3: Plotting a Histogram Graph

In this part, we will plot a histogram graph using the data from the table. Let’s fall into it right now.

  • Select cells (B5:C11) and click “Recommended Charts” from the “Insert” option.

Plotting a Histogram Graph to Create Probability Histogram in Excel

  • From the newly appeared window, choose a “Column Chart” and press OK.

Plotting a Histogram Graph to Create Probability Histogram in Excel

  • In conclusion, we have plotted the graph in our worksheet.

Plotting a Histogram Graph to Create Probability Histogram in Excel

  • Thereafter, you can also change the chart design to make it more lucrative. For that, choosing the chart go to the “Quick Layout” option from the “Chart Design” feature.

Plotting a Histogram Graph to Create Probability Histogram in Excel

  • Accordingly, change the title by double clicking and then typing “Probability Histogram”.

  • Similarly, provide your desired “Axis Titles”.

Plotting a Histogram Graph to Create Probability Histogram in Excel

  • In conclusion, we have created the probability histogram within a short time. Simple isn’t it?

probability histogram excel

Read More: How to Plot Histogram in Excel (5 Easy Ways)


How to Create Binomial Distribution Histogram in Excel

The binomial distribution is a statistical calculation to determine the probability under a given set of parameters. The assumptions are taken in such a way that there will be only one outcome. You can draw a binomial distribution histogram in Excel using some simple tricks.

Suppose we have a dataset of a coin’s “Probability of Success” according to its “Number of Flips”. Now we will calculate the probability with multiple terms to understand the binomial distribution.

In order to understand, we have taken 3 scenarios which are- “Chances of 15 heads”, “Less than or equal 15 heads”, “More than 15 heads”. Let’s calculate the binomial probability using the BINOM.DIST function.

Step 1:

  • First, choose a cell (C8) and write the below formula down-
=BINOM.DIST(15,C5,C4,FALSE)

Where,

  • We have taken 15 as we are calculating the chances of 15 heads.
  • Total number of Trials is 30 which is in cell (C5).
  • We have a probability of 3.
  • As it is a probability mass function thus we selected FALSE.

Binomial Distribution Histogram

  • Gently, hit ENTER to get the probability.

  • Similarly, in cell (C9) put the below formula down-
=BINOM.DIST(15,C5,C4,TRUE)

Where,

  • For Cumulative we used TRUE as the term is a cumulative distribution function.

Binomial Distribution Histogram

  • Simply, click ENTER.

  • In the same fashion, choose cell (C11) and write the below formula-
=1-BINOM.DIST(15,C5,C4,TRUE)

Binomial Distribution Histogram

  • Similarly, press the ENTER key to get the result.

Binomial Distribution Histogram

Step 2:

  • Now, choosing cells (B8:C10) select a “2-D Column” from the “Insert” option.

  • Thus a chart will be created in the worksheet.

Binomial Distribution Histogram

  • You can visit the “Quick Layout” option from the “Chart Design” feature to change the layout of the plotted chart.

  • Just write down the ‘Chart Title” and “Axis Title” and your binomial distribution histogram will be ready.

Binomial Distribution Histogram

Read More: How to Make a Histogram in Excel with Two Sets of Data (4 Ways)


Conclusion

In this article, I have tried to cover almost all the steps to create a probability histogram in Excel. Take a tour of the practice workbook and download the file to practice by yourself. I hope you find it helpful. Please inform us in the comment section about your experience. We, the Exceldemy team, are always responsive to your queries. Stay tuned and keep learning.


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Wasim Akram

Wasim Akram

Hi! my name is Wasim Akram. I am a graduate in mechanical engineering from Ahsanullah University of Science & Technology. I am passionate about learning new things and writing articles. I write article about Microsoft Excel and it's my favourite thing to do.

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